安徽安联科技股份有限公司与世界自然基金会(WWF-World Wide Fund)和五大洲河口联盟(WEA-World Estuary Alliance)协手合作，支持2010年上海世博会及网络宣传活动的工作。基于复旦大学河口城市气候变化脆弱性评价的结果，设计开发“气候变化与河口城市”互动触摸屏系统，在此基础上完成“河口城市气候变化脆弱性评价方法”专业评价信息系统，支持2010年世博会期间WWF展馆中气候变化适应相关的展示内容，并支持相关网上宣传的内容。 近年来，全球气候变化已经引起了各国政府、国际组织和科学工作者的高度重视。据IPCC (2001) 第三次评估报告指出，20世纪可能是最近1000个世纪以来增温最明显的一个世纪。气候变暖将对全球生态系统产生巨大的影响。而生态系统对气候变化的适应能力和调节能力非常有限。脆弱性分析评价是适应和减缓气候变化的关键和基础，已成为近年来气候变化领域和生态学领域的研究热点。 “气候变化与河口城市”互动触摸屏系统将置于上海市博会的WWF展馆河口生态区中，根据人类的居住场所与环境因素之间的相关分析揭示河口生态环境的脆弱性。系统通过富有吸引力的动漫艺术形式，综合应用基于RIA架构的Flex3矢量图形交互式操作技术，在多因素层次模型（AHP）下进行构建。系统以上海市不同板块分区作为问题研究空间，结合海平面上升与海水水文、极端气候灾害、降水、气温等河口气候变化脆弱性评价指标体系的指标来分析气候变化对各板块的综合影响。 “河口城市气候变化脆弱性评价方法”评价信息系统与应用在上海世博会的WWF展馆河口生态区中的“气候变化与河口城市”互动触摸屏系统相呼应。系统应用J2EE架构构建基于Web的河口城市气候变化脆弱性评估系统，将河口气候变化脆弱性研究成果以评价指标体系、脆弱性评价分析、气候变化综合应对策略三个层次进行展现。系统应用矢量-栅格一体化的空间数据分析模型，在河口城市空间尺度下，按气候变化综合评价模型从气候变化风险度和敏感度的双重角度，综合开展脆弱度评价，辨识脆弱度较高的关键区域。此系统构建基于Internet的交流平台，更易为科研专家、行业用户、公众进行访问，极大的扩展了系统的社会影响力。 Based on the Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Result, design and develop the ‘Climate Change & Estuary City’ Interactive System. Subsequently, the professional assessment information system will be developed. These systems will support to climate change adaptation relevant exhibition in 2010 World Expo, as well as related online communication material and activities. In recent years, climate change has been no doubt a world wide focus for governments, international organizations and scientists. Pointed out in the third edition IPCC (2001) assessment report, the 20th century is possibly the one with most obvious temperature increase in the near 1000 centuries. Global warming will bring tremendous impact to global ecosystems. However, ecosystems are only possessed with very limited adaptation and adjustment capability toward climate change. Analysis and evaluation on climate change vulnerability is the sticking point and foundation of climate change adaptation and impacts minimization. It has already been a hot spot in the research area relate with climate change and ecology. This contract targets on 2 information system development as following: The ‘Climate Change & Estuary City’ Interactive System aims to be exhibited in WWF pavilion of the 2010 World Expo. This system aims to help Expo visitors to understand the Yangtze estuary’s ecosystem vulnerability under climate change impacts through correlate analysis between human habitats and its environmental factors. Adopting attractive and understandable comic layout, this system will be developed under an AHP module by integrating Flex3 interactive operation technology based on RIA. This system will use a set of criteria, such as sea level rise, extreme weather, precipitation, temperature, etc. to assess the comprehensive climate change impacts on specific zones of the estuary city. The professional “Climate Change Impacts On The Estuary” Assessment Information System should be developed based on the above interactive system. This system will adopt the J2EE architecture to develop a website-based climate change vulnerability assessment system to illustrate the research result through 3 hierarchies: evaluation indicators, vulnerability assessment and comprehensive countermeasures. This system will utilize the vector-grid integration spatial data analysis module to evaluate, under an estuary city spatial scale, the vulnerability through 2 main assessment factors: climate change risk and sensitivity. Furthermore, the key areas with high vulnerability will also been identified through the system assessment. This system will have an open interface to website development, which will be easy for experts, professional users and even the public to get the relevant information, as well as communicate our project results. （本文已被浏览 1992 次）
